Sevilla will travel to Girona to better their chances of moving away from relegation. The visiting side has had a horrid start to the season but will be looking to build on their win in their previous outing.
The hosts are in the 12th position in La Liga with 18 points from 16 matches. They have won four matches, drawn three, and lost six matches apiece. Girona have not started the second half of the season in the best way, as they are winless in their previous two matches.
The visitors have won only three matches this season and are having one of their worst seasons ever. They, however, managed to win their previous game against Getafe. They are 17th in the table with just 15 points from 16 matches. Sevilla will be looking to draw inspiration from their performance in the match against Getafe.
Now we look at some stats that could predict the match’s outcome.
Season so far
The above visual shows the percentile rank of Girona and Sevilla compared to other teams in La Liga. The hosts have better stats in passing accuracy, key passes, goals per 90, and shots per 90. Sevilla has better stats in passes, crosses per 90, and percentage of possession. They are also ranked high in pressing success and higher in recoveries per 90. Girona takes more shots in a game than Sevilla and is ranked in the top 57.1 percentile.
Attack
The above visual shows the efficiency of positional attacks for different teams in La Liga. Girona is in the first half of the list with an average of 27.94 positional attacks per game, with 27.5% of them leading to shots. Sevilla, on the other hand, is in the other half with an average of 27.5 positional attacks per game, with 23.2% of them leading to shots. The attacks have not gone according to plan for Sevilla, and they have found it hard to convert the few chances they have created.
Sevilla have scored an average of one goal per game while conceding 1.5 goals per game. They have only scored 16 goals this season. Girona scores an average of 1.5 goals per game. They have scored 24 goals this season. The visual below shows the goals per 90 minutes for different teams in La Liga.
Defence
The above visual shows the defensive duels won by different teams in La Liga. Sevilla has won more defensive duels than Girona this season. Sevilla has contested an average of 61.56 defensive duels per game with a win percentage of 58.6%. Girona, meanwhile, have made an average of 61.6 defensive duels per game with a 57% success rate.
The above visual shows recoveries made by different teams in the opposite half in La Liga. Sevilla, who are ranked in the top 61.9 percentile for high press success, have made more recoveries in the opposition half than Girona. The visitors make an average of 77.38 recoveries per game, while the hosts make an average of 73.94 recoveries per game.
Key Players
The above visual shows the xG map of Valentin Castellanos from the current season. He is their top scorer this season with four goals in La Liga. Castellanos has tried a total of 34 shots this season, with 12 of them on target. He will be key in deciding the fate of the match.
Rafa Mir is Sevilla’s top scorer in La Liga with three goals to his name. The goals scored by their top scorer show the team’s problem. They have found it hard to score goals when needed this season, and therefore Rafa Mir will have a big role to play in this match.
Team News
For Girona, Javi Hernandez, Reinier, and Juanpe are likely to miss out on this match due to injury. But they will have the services of Oriol Romeu, who returns from suspension.
Sevilla, on the other hand, will miss a lot of players due to injury, including Papu Gomez, Alex Telles, and Thomas Delaney.
Betting Analysis
Looking at the 1×2 odds market, the odds for Girona are placed at 2.42, while the odds for Sevilla are placed at 3.05. Looking at their previous stats, the over/underlines are expected to be under 2 as both teams have not scored many goals.
Girona will invite Sevilla onto their turf as they look for their fifth win of the season. Meanwhile, Sevilla will have greater motivation as they are playing not to get relegated.
Visuals via TFA data viz engine
