Seventh-placed Osasuna will take on fourth-placed Atletico Madrid on Saturday in La Liga at the El Sadar stadium. The hosts come from a 2-1 win over Sevilla in the Copa Del Rey quarterfinals while the visitors were knocked out by Real Madrid.
The hosts have 28 points from 18 matches, with eight wins, four draws, and six losses to their name. They have only won one match in their last five matches in La Liga. But their win in the Copa Del Rey quarterfinal will give them more confidence as they take on Atletico Madrid.
Atletico Madrid are fourth in La Liga with 31 points from 18 matches, including nine wins, four draws, and five losses. Diego Simeone’s side has looked good after the international break and has produced good displays.
Now we look at some stats that could predict the match’s outcome.
Season so far
The visual above shows both Atletico Madrid’s and Osasuna’s percentile rank compared to other teams in La Liga. The visitors have better stats in almost all the metrics. They have a good percentile score in key passes per game, shots, and goals, while Osasuna plays a lot more crosses than the visitors. Atletico Madrid will need to be careful of these crosses and will have to stop them. Osasuna, on the other hand, will be aware of the higher-level threat the visitors pose.
Attack
Osasuna’s threat from crosses
As we can observe from the pizza chart, Osasuna plays a lot more crosses than Atletico Madrid and creates a lot of danger from them as well. They average 16.83 crosses per game, with 36% of them reaching their target. They are also ranked in the top 71.4 percentile for crosses per game. Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, averages 12 crosses per game.
The visual above shows the efficiency of counterattacks by different teams in La Liga. The visitors are third on the list with 24% efficiency. Atletico Madrid plays around 1.56 counterattacks per game, with 57.1% of them leading to shots. They pose numerous counterattack threats and have quick players who can capitalise on counterattacks. Osasuna, meanwhile, has a 17% efficiency for counterattacks and launches an average of 1.28 counterattacks per game, with 52.3% of them leading to shots.
Defence
The two visuals above show the defensive and aerial duels won by different teams in La Liga. Atletico Madrid have better stats than the hosts for aerial duels, and this will be helpful as they try to stop Osasuna’s crosses. They contest an average of 33.39 aerial duels per game, with 49.9% of them leading to shots. Osasuna, on the other hand, contests an average of 40.83 aerial duels per game with a 48% success rate. However, they have a better stat for defensive duels, with an average of 65.89 defensive duels per game and 57.8% success. Meanwhile, the visitors take part in an average of 70.61 defensive duels per game with a 60.6% success rate. This should be an interesting match as both teams have answers to stop the other team’s strengths.
Key Players
Ez Abde was loaned to Osasuna from Barcelona. The youngster, even though he has not started many matches, has produced glimpses of brilliance and scored the late winner against Sevilla to take Osasuna to the Copa Del Rey semi-final. His fast dribbles could prove to be a challenge for Atleti.
Antoine Griezmann, Atletico Madrid’s best player, easily creates threats with his brilliant vision and passing range. He has five assists this season and has scored six times as well. He will be crucial for Diego Simeone’s side to get three points against Osasuna.
Betting Analysis
Looking at the 1×2 market, the odds for the hosts are placed at 3.57, while those for Atletico Madrid are placed at 2.23. As for the over/under lines market, it is expected to be under 2.5, looking at the recent form of the teams.
Team News
Osasuna will miss the services of Nacho Vidal and Robin Pena due to injuries. It would be interesting to see if Ez Abde gets a spot in the starting lineup after his performance against Sevilla.
Atletico Madrid does not have any injury concerns at the moment and could go with the same lineup against Real Madrid in the Copa Del Rey.
Osasuna will be looking to continue their form from the Copa Del Rey into La Liga as they take on Atletico Madrid. The visitors will be looking to rebound from their disappointing midweek loss to Real Madrid.
Visuals via TFA data viz engine
