Elche v Osasuna – Betting Preview

Elche Summary

Rock bottom Elche is in a dire position and running out of games to achieve their first victory of the season and make some ground towards safety in 17th.

The home side lost to fellow relegation strugglers Celta Vigo last time out at home, and could only snatch a late draw in Cadiz out when on the road last weekend.

The effort and commitment are not questioned but the quality most certainly is. Even by local press and fans of the club who all seem to have no hope they can beat the drop.

Pedro Bigas is back from a ban but the starting XI is very much up in the air due to the manager and his desperation to win a match.

John Chetauya remains out injured along with Nico Fernández; the latter is the only significant absence of the handful of men missing for Elche. Jony Alamo, Alex Collado, and Quina are also ruled out.

The press expects some dramatic unforced moves from Machin. Lautaro Blanco, Fidel Chaves, and Ezequiel Ponce could begin with Clerc, Pere Milla, and Roger losing their starting spot.

 

Osasuna Summary

Osasuna remains in good spirits despite a slight drop off in form of late. They did however bounce back to overcome Mallorca in an ugly battle last weekend in La Liga.

Jagoba Arrasate is realistic in his press conference conversations when asked about the top six. Their main aim is to stay closer to 6th than the drop zone and that will remain the target for now.

Osasuna is missing Lucas Torro due to a suspension and he is the only new absence for the game with Elche.

It is a key loss in the holding midfielder Torro being ruled out, but not the worst game he could be absent for considering his work is done mostly to limit good attacking opponents, which Elche is not. Ibanez will replace him in the team.

Right backs Nacho Vidal and Rubén Peña are also expected to be sidelined due to injury.

 

Betting Analysis

Looking at the 1×2 market first, where the favourite for this game is Osasuna @ 2.20 to win. Elche is @ 3.60 while the draw is @ 3.25.

Moving onto the Asian handicap market for this contest. Elche is given a small start and so can be bet +0.25 @ 2.06, with the draw paying as a half-win. This does looks fairly tempting given that they are likely to raise their game. Osasuna -0.25 are @ 1.79, very unattractive for a one-dimensional side that tends to win games by out-battling the opponent which will be tough here.

Looking at The Under/Over market last of all which looks accurately set at 2.25. Over is priced @ 2.01 while the Under is @ 1.86. There is nothing about this game that could drag me into considering a bet on this market. One side is desperate for a win but has terrible quality. Osasuna is not a world-beater of a team and doesn’t need to win anywhere near as much, but they have more ability to score goals and protect a lead.