Getafe vs Valencia – Betting Preview


Getafe Summary

Getafe’s confidence and form are gradually improving but they come into the game in a very nervy 19th position and dire need of a win.

They have got late undeserved 1-1 draws in their last two outings and managed to stop what was a losing run before those matches.

The point earned in Atletico Madrid was added time by another draw at home to high-flying rivals Rayo last weekend.

Getafe was pleased to get back-to-back points but in reality, it didn’t do much good for them in the short-term fight for survival.

They remain second from the bottom going into the weekend. The draws didn’t lift them higher in the table but did give them a much-needed confidence boost.

Getafe’s overall belief is low however and morale is a concern. The boss has publically said that the dressing room is fine but there is increasing speculation that he is losing the faith of the squad.

Quique Flores has only one notable new absence but it’s a big player to have missing for what is bound to be a full-blooded game against another side in the bottom three. Carlos Alena is banned and so the centre midfielder misses out.

On a positive note, Djene their towering centre back returns from a ban to sit in the back four.


Valencia Summary

The headline news for 18th-placed club Valencia is that they have finally found a manager willing to take the mighty job on, and it’s a former star central midfielder Ruben Baraja.

The former no. 8 midfielder has previously managed the likes of Tenerife, Zaragoza, Sporting Gijon, Rayo and Elche. He remains close to the club as he made his managerial name in charge of the youth academy at Valencia.

The form is woeful but the mood and motivation levels should be massively increased in time for a crunch relegation meeting with Getafe, the club who sit beneath them in La Liga 2022/23.

They have lost their last four including Bilbao, Valladolid, Real Madrid, and  Girona. With these results, they lost a manager (Gattuso) and went from the top half into the bottom three.

Rubén Baraja takes charge of a side missing regulars, including Samu Castillejo who is on this occasion suspended.

Would be number one Jaume Doménech is banned while Nico González and Edinson Cavani are missing due to injury.

The good news is defender Thierry Correia was training normally on Saturday and may return here, though the new manager hinted strongly it was a game too soon.

Baraja wants to use a 4-4-2 and be quite attacking and direct down both flanks.

In the struggling defence, one of Thierry or Gabriel Paulista is expected to return and begin at centre defence. The latter has served a three-game suspension and the two battle it out versus Comert to partner Diakbay.

In attack, youngster Hugo Duro or Marcos Andre is in line to fill in for Edinson Cavani.


Betting Analysis

Looking at the 1×2 market first where there is almost nothing that separates the two sides which makes perfect sense. This is a game to avoid in my view as anything could happen, particularly with a previously unreliable Valencia in freefall about to start life under a new manager who is likely to give them a boost in their performances. Had this new boss not come in time to manage them in Getafe, I would be keen to oppose Valencia. The away team is however a slight favourite with Valencia @ 2.80. Both the draw and Getafe are @ 2.90.

Moving onto the Asian handicap betting for this contest. So close is the betting between these two well-matched sides that the market goes Draw no bet  (DNB). Getafe are the slight outsider -0 @ 1.99 while Valencia -0 is @ 1.88.

Looking at The Under/Over goal betting last of all. The long-term expectations of Valencia boss Baraja are that they are bolder and more attacking, gradually becoming more of an ‘overs’ side. For this game, however, so much pressure and so much to lose, hard to see anything open or entertaining. The line is at 2. Over is @ 2.05 and Under is @ 1.79.