Osasuna v Atletico Madrid – Betting Preview


Osasuna Summary

Osasuna is in good spirits despite a slight drop off in form of late. They couldn’t follow up the ugly win over Mallorca with 3 more points at bottom club Elche last time out, a draw which felt like a loss.

Jagoba Arrasate is realistic in his press conference conversations when asked about the top six. Their main aim is to stay in the top half but a victory in this game puts them level with 4th-placed Atletico Madrid, keeping the fans dreaming about champions league football coming to Pamplona.

Osasuna has good team news with everyone available, but a couple of slight doubts with both right backs carrying knocks.

Lucas Torro is back from a suspension in a big boost. Right backs Nacho Vidal and Rubén Peña are both back to full training and one of them is set to begin, probably the one deemed as better recovered.


Atletico Madrid Summary

Atletico Madrid’s league form has improved and the team is looking sharper in attack with a more ambitious approach. There was however a notable setback midweek when they lost to rivals Real Madrid after extra time in the Copa del Rey.

The exit to Real will have damaged confidence and momentum but they are highly motivated to channel that frustration into a win here which would be a great boost for their top-four chances.

Team news is mostly positive for the visitor but fatigue is a possible concern after playing on Thursday evening. The only confirmed absence is Marcos Llorente who is injured, he is a regular when fit but as he is so versatile, it is difficult to call this a big loss.


Betting Analysis

Looking at the 1×2 market first. Atletico is the favourite to win @ 2.15. one slight angle that helps Osasuna is freshness.  Both played 120 midweek in the cup but the visitor had less rest for this match having played on Thursday evening. Osasuna was given the day off to rest so could be fitter and better prepared.  Osasuna is @ 3.70 and the draw is @ 3.25.

Moving onto the Asian handicap market for this contest. Atletico -0.25 is the favourite @ 2.15. Osasuna +0.25 is the outsider of the two and has the draw onside with this handicap. Atletico is the stronger attacking side and would be the preference to bounce back after the cup loss. That is however the only negative as the host will be fresher with a day more rest.

Looking at The Under/Over goal line last of all. The line is set at 2.25 which looks fair. This will almost certainly be a full-blooded and intense football match as both have an aggressive and direct manner in their play. Both have goals in them and so a slight preference would be for Over 2.25 @ 2.03. Should it end with exactly 2 goals then only half of the stake is lost, a reassuring safety net. Under is @ 1.80.