PSV v Sevilla  – UEL Betting Preview

 

 

PSV Summary

Trailing 3-0 to a somewhat rejuvenated Sevilla, it would take a comeback of historic proportions to rescue PSV’s UEFA Europa League dreams.

Fourth placed PSV laboured to a 2-2 draw on the weekend against Utrecht in the Eredivisie league. This was not the foundation they wanted with such a big ask ahead, raising further questions about their ability to overcome this massive deficit.

Six points away from league leaders Feyenoord, it looks likely that PSV will be able to focus on the league once the 90 minutes have passed.

The Dutch club has won only twice in the last five games and so belief isn’t high that they can overturn the bad performance which left them in such a big hole for this second leg.

PSV boss Ruud van Nistelrooy will not give up on the tie however and demand a full blooded approach from his side to at the very least, make it competitive

The club is desperate to improve its reputation in Europe. Rarely a soft touch on their turf, PSV have won without reply in three of their last four UEL h matches at home  and have lost just one of their last nine here in the competition proper

 

Sevilla Summary

After a credible draw in Vallecas against a high-flying and top-six La Liga side Rayo on Saturday, the momentum continues at Sevilla.

Sevilla has won three games from their last five outings and the only defeat in that LaLiga 2022/23 run was the one in Barcelona last weekend.

They led against Rayo but ended up settling for the draw, which is definitely a good result this season and means their path back to the top six continues.

With this dramatic improvement in results and performances, Sevilla’s mood and confidence are much better than it was a couple of weeks ago. As a result, the dressing room spirit is much better.

They are seen as Europa League specialists and after the sizable advantage from the first leg in Spain, nothing has changed since the knockout phase began in this competition.

Domestically Sevilla was in bad trouble a month ago but with a big upturn in form which coincide with their win against PSV in the home leg, they can start to feel safe without the fear of being relegated.

The positive of this relief is that they can put more focus on winning the UEL which they fully believe they can.

Team news is quite positive but with such a big lead, the boss may not risk men carrying knocks like En Nesyri and Raktic

Jorge Sampaoli is unable to use  Badé, Marcao, and Corona as well as Papu Gomez.

 

Betting Analysis

Looking at the 1×2 market first. PSV could win by one or two goals but still go out, and so it makes sense they are favourties @ 2.15. Sevilla is @ 3.30 and the draw is @ 3.75.

Moving onto the Asian handicap betting for this contest.  Sevilla +0.25 @ 1.94 will likely rotate and not risk men with knocks. They also will try to conserve legs, so I would not even contemplate siding with them in a game that not only do they not need to win, but can even afford to lose by two goals and still qualify! PSV -0.25 holds plenty of appeal @ 1.85 and are likely winners on this handicap, given the circumstance of this match.

Looking at The Under/Over goal betting last of all where the line is set at 2.5. Over is @ 1.85 while the under is @ 1.95. Sevilla would like a game with less than three goals and PSV need at least there to make it go to extra time, presuming all three are their goals. No preference at all here.