RB Leipzig x Real Madrid – Match Preview:

Real Madrid is in a comfortable situation with ten points before round 5. The Germans will have a hard mission, because although they start the round as the 2nd team in the Group, Shakhtar Donetsk is expected to fight hard, and they may collect a point or even win their game on the road against Celtic.

Real Madrid won’t have Benzema, Modric, and Valverde due to minor injuries. That means the team will have several names that are fighting for a starter spot, including Rodrygo, Tchouaméni, and Camavinga.

Asensio and L. Vázquez are also expected to start, as well as Courtois who needs minutes before the World Cup.

The fact that several Madrid players want to fight for a regular spot, means that these guys will be motivated in spite of the fact that Real Madrid is safe in terms of qualifying for the Round of 16 considering the current situation at Group F.

The hosts have a strong recent home record, but they were beaten by Shakhtar Donetsk in early September at home in a game valid for group F.

Let’s have a look at the betting markets.

RB Leipzig – Real Madrid: Betting Preview

The markets see the teams with similar chances of winning this game. I believe Real Madrid is showing that they have one of the best teams in Europe in terms of squad depth. The subs and the regulars have good synergy. The changes in formation and roles like when Alaba leaves the CB position to play as LB are working too.

I believe we simply can’t consider a team of Real Madrid with an expected starting XI with Vini Jr, Rodrygo, Asensio, Vazquez, Mendy, and Tchouaméni as having the same chances as RB Leipzig, currently the 8th team in the Bundesliga classification table. It just doesn’t make sense to me at all.

The 1×2 market should have Madrid with odds reflecting chances in the house of 50%, something like 2.0 to 2.15, while the Asian lines should have Real Madrid with a handicap between half a ball and -0.25.

Over/Under bets: RB Leipzig – Real Madrid

I don’t see any obvious value bet here, but I do expect an open game. The hosts need these points and Real Madrid should start the game with tranquility as they already have ten points. It looks like a wonderful opportunity for a team full of attacking power to prove that they can start games for Real Madrid.

RB Leipzig – Real Madrid: summary of betting market expectations

I don’t see Real Madrid that disinterested in this game. Los Blancos are a club full of players that want to arrive in Qatar in top form for the World Cup. This could be an opportunity to buy Real Madrid at interesting prices, a rare occasion, but perhaps a peak in the live betting markets while watching the game live could allow the gamblers more confidence to place a bet. The same applies to potential over bets.