Real Madrid vs Barcelona – Spanish Super Cup Final – Betting Preview

Neutral venue, the game will be played in Saudi Arabia. 

Real Madrid Summary

Real Madrid is determined to win the Spanish Super Cup and get one over their bitter rivals Barcelona.

Real also have the prospect of equalling Barcelona’s record for the most Supercup wins at 13. This adds a little extra motivation and spice to the occasion.

The league form has been inconsistent, seeing them drop vital ground to leaders Barcelona. Lifting the trophy in front of their hated rivals would regain confidence and possibly damage morale at Barcelona for the remainder of the season.

Madrid has the more negative team news of the two clubs.

Carlo Ancelotti was already missing Alaba and Aurelién Tchouaméni, and they’re now joined by Álvaro Odriozola and more notably, the versatile right-sided player Lucas Vasquez.

In some positive news, Camavinga and Militao recovered from knocks in the draw with Valencia to be fully available to compete on Sunday.


Barcelona Summary

Barcelona’s spirits and confidence on the pitch are strong despite issues off it. Their financial problems have left them no option but to sell one or two fairly high-profile players this January, including Rafinha who only joined in the summer.

A win in the Super Cup final against bitter rivals Real Madrid would be a massive boost to the club and get the trophy cabinet further stocked up to kickstart 2023.

Manager Xavi has no injury concerns and his best team is available for the final. It looks set that veteran Jordi Alba misses out on the start, with Balde beginning as the fresher of the two left-backs.

Dembele and De Jong had slight knocks in the Thursday night game with Betis, but the boss has said they’re both fully available for selection.


Betting Analysis

Neutral venue. 

Looking at the 1×2 market first where there is little between the two great clubs. The marginal favourite for this game is Barcelona @ 2.45. Real Madrid is in 2nd place in the league but perhaps more significantly in this jockeying for favouritism, their team news is a concern compared to Barcelona who has everyone available. Real Madrid is @ 2.80 and the draw is priced @ 3.60.

Moving onto the Asian handicap market for this contest where on both options, the draw is offered as a cushion. Both of their games to get to this stage went to penalties, so a 90-minute draw would not surprise given the closeness in quality between them. Barcelona -0 is @ 1.80 and real Madrid -0 is @ 2.08.

Looking at The Under/Over market last of all, where the goal handicap is set @ 2.75. Recent meetings, all on Spanish soil, were matches that ended up with the ‘Overs’ at this line getting a full win. Each of the three El Clásico’s in 2022 saw at least four goals. Should there be exactly three goals then half of the stake pays as a winner, and the other half returned to the punter.