Almeria 1-1 Cadiz – Betting Review
Betting Analysis
Looking at the 1×2 market first. Almeria was the favourite to win @ 2.10.
Cadiz led until very late but thanks to a foolish tackle inside the box, Almeria grabbed a late leveller. The draw was flagged up as the value bet and won @ 3.45. That said, the home side merited more, they had the best chances and Cadiz’s goal was something of a fluke. Fair score 2-1.
Moving onto the Asian handicap betting for this contest. Cadiz will be angry with the way the penalty came about, but they would have taken a point before and during this game. Cadiz +0.5 @ 1.81 won but probably didn’t merit it.
Looking at The Under/Over goal betting last of all. The line was set at 2.25 having opened at 2.5. The Under was a half-win @ 1.98. The push is about right because it was a very anxious and nervy game, but with some missed big chances too.
Match Summary
The desperate home side will rue bad luck and missed chances which deprived them of what should have been a vital three points.
As it was, however, Cadiz went ahead against the run of play with a really badly defended long throw which beat everyone and dropped into the net. That goal had come minutes into the 2nd period.
Almeria missed big chances at 0-0 and 0-1, hitting the woodwork and missing a couple of clear headers among their best chances.
The host merited a win but in the end, had to become thankful for the chance to grab a draw thanks to a penalty deep in stoppage time.
Gonzalo Melero’s coolly taken injury-time spot-kick made it 1-1.
For Cadiz, Théo Bongonda was lively and their best attacking player. On 29 minutes, VAR saw his penalty award turned into a free kick for an infringement just outside the area.
Later in the game, Bongonda missed a 1v1 to make it 0-2, in one of the very few opportunities that Cadiz had.
Almería was always the more dangerous and ambitious. They were very fortunate not to be ahead by the break and made to rue those missed chances four minutes into the restart.
For the Cadiz opener. It came from a famous Luis Hernández long throw which caused havoc and got a slight touch off Roger Martí. It was one of the ugliest goals La Liga will see all season.
After a barrage of pressure and some more missed chances, Almeria got the penalty when Mamadou Mbaye made a very poor challenge.
Rubi’s men will be frustrated with letting this game go without a win. They remain in the relegation zone.