Real Madrid 1-1 (3-1 AET) Atletico Madrid – Betting Review


Match Summary

Real Madrid needed extra time to seal a dramatic Copa del Rey comeback as they downed rivals Atletico Madrid with a 3-1 quarter-final victory on Thursday.

After an unconvincing 90 minutes from which Los Blancos were heading out at the Santiago Bernabeu, the home side dominated extra time and cruised to a win against ten men Atletico.

Former Real Madrid striker Alvaro Morata had struck in the first half for Atletico from a nicely worked goal, though slightly against the run of play

Rodrygo’s fantastic solo effort forced an extra half-hour in the Spanish capital, before Karim Benzema and Vinicius Junior completed the turnaround for the hosts in the extra half hour.

Despite an early command of the game, it was the hosts who went behind in the 19th minute when Morata tapped in Nahuel Molina’s square ball from close-range.

Madrid blew a big chance to level matters on the half-hour mark when Eder Militao was caught off-guard by a free-kick delivery and botched a simple header.

Matters went from bad to worse for Ancelotti’s side too after they were forced into a substitution before the break thanks to an injury to Ferland Mendy.

Los Blancos were forced to wait for much of the game to find their response, but their patience paid off in the 79th minute when Rodrygo skipped past four Atletico players before prodding past Jan Oblak at his near post.

Real Madrid certainly merited at least the extra half hour as they had all the momentum before levelling.

Tempers started to fray between both rivals in extra-time, with Stefan Savic dismissed in the 99th minute after two yellow cards in quick succession.

Gifted a man advantage, Real Madrid seized the chance with Benzema able to guide Vinicius’ rushed effort in past Oblak, before the Brazilian signed off the game with a finish of his own, tucked away after a fine run in off the left wing.

Having taken a lead into the half-time break, it was always likely Simeone’s side would sit back and attempt to frustrate their rivals following the interval.

With only 30 percent of possession in the second 45 however, they allowed themselves to be pushed off the park in the end and paid the price in extra time. Fair score 2-1.


Betting Analysis

Looking at the 1×2 market first. The favourite for this game was Real Madrid which was justified on the balance of play, but they never got into a winning position (in the 90 mins) having conceded quite early. The draw in 90 minutes was @3.55 the preference in our preview, and it paid off as the value bet.

Moving onto the Asian handicap market for this contest. Atletico Madrid +0.5 was the winning selection @ 1.84. Even though they were second best for the most part, they dug in and always looked capable of getting something have gone ahead early.

Looking at The Under/Over market last of all which was fairly set at 2.5. The Under won  @ 1.91, but it really could have gone either way. Atletico did sit back but at times in the first period, it looked open and like more of an overs-type game.