Real Madrid 2-1 Cadiz: Betting Review

By Dan King under the supervision of Lucas Mondelo

Betting Analysis


Real Madrid was a massive favourite and although it was not as clear as even the most optimistic Cadiz fan would have expected, the host were the winners on the 1X2 market.

The home side at one stage (leading 2-0) seemed to be cruising to victory and comfortable winning bet for their backers. However, a late keeper mistake left it at 2-1 and led to strong late Cadiz pressure. Indeed, the visitor missed a massive opportunity in added time to steal a point. A Cadiz goal at that stage would have seen Real Madrid’s 1.21 backers extremely frustrated.

Asian Handicap

On the Asian market, Cadiz +2 @1.98 were able to get their backers a winning bet. As was anticipated in the betting preview of this game, both team news and desire (or lack of it in the case of Madrid) to compete at 100% intensity favoured the visitor who made it count in the end.

It must be noted however, Cadiz rode their luck at 2-0 when they changed from being defensive to super offensive-minded. As a result of this tactic to get back into the game, Modric missed a sitter to make it 3-0 on a break. A goal then would have likely seen Cadiz +2 being beaten on this market, but instead, they scored themselves just minutes after.


The under/over goal market had already dropped from 3.5 to 3.25 @2.01 before kick-off. The downward move was correct to expect a tightish game as only 3 goals were scored. That said, it was a more open game after Kroos fired Madrid’s 2nd goal home on 70 minutes.

Match Report

Real Madrid was missing key men Benzema and Rüdiger and for a large part of the first half, those who were on the pitch didn’t play at their best.

Some credit can go to a competitive and organised Cadiz, but it was evident the host were not entirely focused on this game as their internationals refrained from playing with high intensity and aggression.

Real Madrid and their increasingly anxious fans were greatly relieved to find the opening goal five minutes before the break, with Kroos assisting Militao to send the host ahead.

Real Madrid looked comfortable in the second half but didn’t generate many clear opportunities until Kroos hammered in an excellent 2nd goal in the 70th minute, a strike which seemed to kill the contest.

Cadiz had focused on defence and staying in the game until the second Madrid goal. Once down by two, however, the visitor opened up and started to take risks going forward.

After surviving several dangerous breaks including one which ended in Modric missing an open goal, Cadiz suddenly managed to half the deficit and make the game close.

Courtois was criticized for the goal which changed the dynamic of this match. Given that significant boost and the fact Madrid had already turned off, Cadiz finished stronger and missed a clear header late on to snatch what would have been a shock draw.